GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Madryn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MadrynWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ferro Carril OesteWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MadrynFerro Carril Oeste
43.5Attack41.3
68.1Defence69.3
52.2Form65.3
56.7Power60.9
0.85xG0.74
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