Deportivo Madrynvs
Ferro Carril Oeste
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 5/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Deportivo Madryn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00