GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Madryn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Madryn hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MadrynLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores De BelgranoLDWDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MadrynDefensores De Belgrano
43.5Attack22.2
68.1Defence70.8
52.2Form36.1
56.7Power45.3
0.86xG0.38
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