Deportivo Madrynvs
Ciudad de Bolívar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Madryn · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Madryn 0-0 Ciudad de Bolívar, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Madryn 3-1 Ciudad de Bolívar
Original prediction
Deportivo Madryn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.4% | 48.3% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.4% | 32.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 5.31 | 17.2% | 19.0% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Madryn 0–0 Ciudad de Bolívar
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Madryn
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Deportivo Madryn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20