Deportivo Madrynvs
Chaco For Ever
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Madryn · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Chaco For Ever, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Madryn 1-2 Chaco For Ever
Original prediction
Deportivo Madryn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.0% | 54.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.0% | 29.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.39 | 16.9% | 16.4% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Chaco For Ever
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Madryn
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Deportivo Madryn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80