Deportivo Llacuabambavs
Union Comercio
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Llacuabamba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Llacuabamba 0-0 Union Comercio, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Llacuabamba 1-1 Union Comercio
Original prediction
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.3% | 40.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.6% | 33.6% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.2% | 25.6% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Llacuabamba 0–0 Union Comercio
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Deportivo Llacuabamba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60