Deportivo Llacuabambavs
Molinos El Pirata
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Llacuabamba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Llacuabamba 1-0 Molinos El Pirata, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Llacuabamba 0-0 Molinos El Pirata
Original prediction
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 67.5% | 49.1% | -18.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.1% | 27.3% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 7.19 | 12.4% | 23.6% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.4 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Llacuabamba 1–0 Molinos El Pirata
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Deportivo Llacuabamba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20