Deportivo Laravs
Urena SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Lara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Lara 1-0 Urena SC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Lara 2-2 Urena SC
Original prediction
Deportivo Lara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.5% | 55.9% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.8% | 24.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 5.75 | 15.7% | 19.4% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Lara 1–0 Urena SC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Lara
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Deportivo Lara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60