Deportivo Laravs
Urena SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Lara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Lara 4-1 Urena SC
Original prediction
Deportivo Lara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.0% | 41.8% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.4% | 27.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.60 | 19.5% | 31.1% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Lara
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Deportivo Lara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00