GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Segunda División · 9/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Lara · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Lara 2-1 Fundación Lara Deportiva

Original prediction

Deportivo Lara

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8150.1%49.5%-0.6 pts
Draw3.2727.7%26.6%-1.1 pts
Away4.0722.3%23.9%1.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–014%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Lara

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Deportivo Lara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo LaraWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Fundación Lara DeportivaDLLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo LaraFundación Lara Deportiva
57.6Attack54.5
71.2Defence65.2
68.2Form60.6
66.8Power60.9
1.31xG0.84
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