Deportivo Laravs
Atletico el Vigia FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Lara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Lara 2-0 Atletico el Vigia FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Lara 3-0 Atletico el Vigia FC
Original prediction
Deportivo Lara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 57.8% | 71.3% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.0% | 18.6% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 18.3% | 10.2% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Lara 2–0 Atletico el Vigia FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Lara
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
71.3%
Deportivo Lara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20