Deportivo Laferrerevs
Sportivo Italiano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Laferrere 0-0 Sportivo Italiano, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Laferrere 1-2 Sportivo Italiano
Original prediction
Sportivo Italiano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.0% | 26.3% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 30.8% | 31.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.2% | 41.9% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Laferrere 0–0 Sportivo Italiano
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Italiano
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Sportivo Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80