Deportivo Laferrerevs
Real Pilar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Laferrere 0-0 Real Pilar, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Laferrere 1-1 Real Pilar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.2% | 33.8% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.1% | 31.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.6% | 34.4% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.80 · Draw 1.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Laferrere 0–0 Real Pilar
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo LaferrereWLLDW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real PilarWWDDW
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo LaferrereReal Pilar
39.6Attack37.5
57.3Defence67.7
46.9Form53.1
50.1Power55.3
0.82xG0.90