GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 4/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Excursionistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Deportivo Laferrere are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Excursionistas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Excursionistas hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 63.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Excursionistas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Excursionistas

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Excursionistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo LaferrereLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ExcursionistasWWWWD

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo LaferrereExcursionistas
40.0Attack50.0
56.7Defence74.4
46.7Form62.2
50.0Power63.1
0.64xG1.25
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