Deportivo Laferrerevs
Deportivo Merlo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Laferrere · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Laferrere 1-0 Deportivo Merlo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Laferrere 1-1 Deportivo Merlo
Original prediction
Deportivo Laferrere
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.9% | 48.7% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.3% | 28.4% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 5.04 | 17.8% | 22.9% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Laferrere 1–0 Deportivo Merlo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Laferrere
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Deportivo Laferrere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60