Deportivo La Guairavs
UCV
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo La Guaira · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 UCV, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 UCV
Original prediction
Deportivo La Guaira
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 20:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.7% | 54.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.6% | 26.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.7% | 19.7% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 UCV
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo La Guaira
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Deportivo La Guaira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00