Deportivo La Guairavs
Trujillanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo La Guaira · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Trujillanos FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Trujillanos FC
Original prediction
Deportivo La Guaira
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.9% | 71.2% | 12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.4% | 19.4% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 5.41 | 16.8% | 9.4% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.3 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo La Guaira 2–0 Trujillanos FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo La Guaira
Probability
71.2%
Model confidence
71.2%
Deportivo La Guaira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60