Deportivo La Guairavs
Metropolitanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 Metropolitanos FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 Metropolitanos FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 06:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.7% | 33.5% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.2% | 31.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.1% | 35.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.92 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 Metropolitanos FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80