Deportivo La Guairavs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo La Guaira · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Estudiantes de Merida FC
Original prediction
Deportivo La Guaira
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.1% | 63.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 6.34 | 14.2% | 13.0% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo La Guaira
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Deportivo La Guaira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20