GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/7/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo La Guaira · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo La Guaira are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Caracas FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo La Guaira hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Deportivo La Guaira holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo La Guaira

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Deportivo La Guaira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo La GuairaWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Caracas FCDLLWW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo La GuairaCaracas FC
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence48.1
33.3Form37.0
45.3Power42.5
1.39xG0.79
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