Deportivo La Guairavs
Aragua FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo La Guaira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Guaira 3-0 Aragua FC
Original prediction
Deportivo La Guaira
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.4% | 37.5% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.2% | 26.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.40 | 20.4% | 35.7% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo La Guaira
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Deportivo La Guaira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80