Deportivo La Guairavs
Anzoátegui FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo La Guaira · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Anzoátegui FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Anzoátegui FC
Original prediction
Deportivo La Guaira
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.6% | 75.9% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.6% | 17.0% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 7.69 | 11.8% | 7.1% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo La Guaira 2–0 Anzoátegui FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo La Guaira
Probability
75.9%
Model confidence
75.9%
Deportivo La Guaira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80