Deportivo La Corunavs
Valencia
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 8/30/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo La Coruna · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Valencia
Original prediction
Deportivo La Coruna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 37.0% | 39.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 31.7% | 29.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 31.3% | 31.3% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo La Coruna
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Deportivo La Coruna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00