Deportivo La Corunavs
Real Betis
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 9/20/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Betis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Real Betis
Original prediction
Real Betis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 26.5% | 34.7% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 25.7% | 27.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 47.8% | 38.2% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Real Betis
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60