GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 8/26/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo La Coruna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo La Coruna are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Rayo Majadahonda are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo La Coruna hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.2% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while Deportivo La Coruna holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo La Coruna

Probability

71.2%

Model confidence

71.2%

Deportivo La Coruna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo La CorunaLWD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Rayo MajadahondaLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo La CorunaRayo Majadahonda
56.1Attack25.4
76.3Defence54.4
68.4Form26.3
67.5Power38.0
1.80xG0.31
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