Deportivo La Corunavs
Levante
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo La Coruna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Levante
Original prediction
Deportivo La Coruna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 45.3% | 49.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 27.4% | 24.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 27.4% | 26.0% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo La Coruna
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Deportivo La Coruna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40