GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo La Coruña II · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo La Coruña II 2-0 Real Unión

Original prediction

Deportivo La Coruña II

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2240.9%40.1%-0.8 pts
Draw3.1828.5%29.4%0.9 pts
Away2.9630.6%30.5%-0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo La Coruña II

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Deportivo La Coruña II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo La Coruña IIDWDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real UniónDLWWD

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo La Coruña IIReal Unión
33.3Attack40.4
66.7Defence53.5
33.3Form37.7
45.3Power45.6
1.26xG0.94
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