Deportivo La Coruña IIvs
Racing Ferrol
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo La Coruña II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Coruña II 0-1 Racing Ferrol
Original prediction
Deportivo La Coruña II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.3% | 36.3% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.2% | 29.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.5% | 34.5% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo La Coruña II
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Deportivo La Coruña II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80