Deportivo La Coruña IIvs
Ponferradina
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo La Coruña II 0-0 Ponferradina, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo La Coruña II 2-1 Ponferradina
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.7% | 30.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.1% | 32.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.2% | 36.7% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo La Coruña II 0–0 Ponferradina
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.9%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60