GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Extremadura 1924 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo La Coruña II 0-5 Extremadura 1924

Original prediction

Extremadura 1924

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6833.8%33.8%0.0 pts
Draw3.1828.5%27.7%-0.8 pts
Away2.4037.7%38.5%0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Extremadura 1924

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Extremadura 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo La Coruña IILLLWD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Extremadura 1924DWWLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo La Coruña IIExtremadura 1924
38.1Attack45.8
52.4Defence58.3
38.1Form41.7
44.9Power50.2
1.08xG1.19
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