Deportivo Garcilasovs
UTC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 5/17/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportivo Garcilaso are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UTC Cajamarca are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.8% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Garcilaso holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Garcilaso
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
16.8%
Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20