Deportivo Garcilasovs
Universitario
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Universitario, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Garcilaso 4-0 Universitario
Original prediction
Deportivo Garcilaso
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.3% | 37.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.8% | 29.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Garcilaso 0–0 Universitario
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Garcilaso
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40