GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Deportivo Garcilaso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Garcilaso holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Garcilaso

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

13.8%

Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo GarcilasoDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting CristalWLWDD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo GarcilasoSporting Cristal
41.3Attack52.4
68.3Defence47.6
55.6Form41.3
57.0Power48.6
1.43xG0.89
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