Deportivo Garcilasovs
Sport Huancayo
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 Sport Huancayo
Original prediction
Deportivo Garcilaso
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.4% | 55.6% | 15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.4% | 24.5% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 30.3% | 19.9% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Garcilaso
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60