Deportivo Garcilasovs
Metropolitanos FC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/4/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Metropolitanos FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40