Deportivo Garcilasovs
Lanus
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/10/2024, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lanus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanus hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
34.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00