Copa De La LigaCopa De La Liga
Monday, 29 June 2026Last updated 10:14
Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

Home
L
41
Full time
Deportivo Binacional

Deportivo Binacional

Away
L
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
Deportivo Garcilaso(52%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Deportivo Garcilaso
Win probability
Deportivo Garcilaso
52%
Draw
25%
Deportivo Binacional
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Deportivo Garcilaso
9
Deportivo Binacional
34
Defence
Deportivo Garcilaso
66
Deportivo Binacional
1
Momentum
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
Deportivo Binacional
0
Danger (xG)
Deportivo Garcilaso
0.00
Deportivo Binacional
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Deportivo Garcilaso)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Deportivo Binacional)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Garcilaso)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Binacional)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
LWLW
Deportivo BinacionalDeportivo Binacional
LL

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
Deportivo Garcilaso52%
Draw25%
Deportivo Binacional23%

Deportivo Garcilaso leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Deportivo Garcilaso head into this in Copa De La Liga fixture at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in mixed form (L), while Deportivo Binacional arrive in mixed form (L). Deportivo Garcilaso have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Deportivo Binacional over 1 games.

The model rates Deportivo Garcilaso's attack at 9/100 against a 1/100 Deportivo Binacional defence, and Deportivo Binacional's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Deportivo Garcilaso backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Deportivo Garcilaso have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Deportivo Binacional have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Deportivo Garcilaso have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Deportivo Garcilaso have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Deportivo Garcilaso to win with 52% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Deportivo Garcilaso 5220%, Draw 2490%, Deportivo Binacional 2290%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Deportivo Garcilaso 1Draws 00 Deportivo Binacional
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
29 Jun 2026
Deportivo Garcilaso
W41
Deportivo Binacional

Recent form

Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

L
@ Sporting Cristal
17 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.0
W
vs Deportivo Binacional
29 Jun 2026
41
L
@ Cienciano
22 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Alianza Atletico
11 May 2026
21
Deportivo Binacional

Deportivo Binacional

L
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun 2026
14
L
@ Comerciantes
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Binacional?

GoalVio's model predicts Deportivo Garcilaso to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Binacional?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Binacional?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Binacional?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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