GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/24/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cuiaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Deportivo Garcilaso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cuiaba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cuiaba hold a 44.1-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cuiaba holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cuiaba

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Cuiaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo GarcilasoWLLDW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CuiabaLLWDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo GarcilasoCuiaba
0.0Attack45.8
33.3Defence75.0
0.0Form54.2
15.3Power59.4
0.69xG1.32
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