Deportivo Garcilasovs
Atletico Grau
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Atletico Grau, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2 Atletico Grau
Original prediction
Deportivo Garcilaso
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.4% | 51.8% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.6% | 31.4% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 5.76 | 16.0% | 16.8% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Garcilaso 0–0 Atletico Grau
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Garcilaso
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60