Deportivo GarcilasovsAlianza Lima

Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.