Deportivo Garcilasovs
ADT
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while ADT are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and ADT hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00