Deportivo EspañolvsCentral Ballester

COMPLETED

Argentina · Primera C · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Deportivo Español 0-0 Central Ballester, with an exact score probability of 40%.

Final result

Deportivo Español 1-0 Central Ballester

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.59	56.1%	39.7%	-16.3 pts
Draw	3.13	28.5%	37.5%	9.0 pts
Away	5.77	15.4%	22.8%	7.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.0 pts

Projected Score

Deportivo Español 0–0 Central Ballester

Exact score probability: 40%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

39.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Deportivo EspañolWDWWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5

Central BallesterDWWWD

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5

Deportivo EspañolCentral Ballester

26.4Attack32.2

82.8Defence69.0

51.7Form43.7

56.4Power49.5

0.54xG0.40