Deportivo de La Coruña Wvs
Real Madrid W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo de La Coruña W 0-2 Real Madrid W
Original prediction
Real Madrid W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.68 | 10.4% | 28.1% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.11 | 17.7% | 25.7% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 71.8% | 46.2% | -25.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid W
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Real Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60