GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División Femenina · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo de La Coruña W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo de La Coruña W 1-2 Atletico Madrid W

Original prediction

Deportivo de La Coruña W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.8523.6%38.0%14.4 pts
Draw3.7424.3%26.4%2.0 pts
Away1.7552.1%35.7%-16.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

14.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo de La Coruña W

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Deportivo de La Coruña W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo de La Coruña WDWLDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico Madrid WLWLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo de La Coruña WAtletico Madrid W
26.7Attack53.3
73.3Defence33.3
33.3Form40.0
45.0Power45.3
1.42xG1.08
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