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Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:15
Deportivo Cuenca

Deportivo Cuenca

Home
DL
02
Full time
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

Away
WL
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Deportivo Cuenca(37%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Deportivo Cuenca
37%
Draw
35%
Universidad Catolica
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Deportivo Cuenca
18
Universidad Catolica
54
Defence
Deportivo Cuenca
66
Universidad Catolica
46
Momentum
Deportivo Cuenca
17
Universidad Catolica
50
Danger (xG)
Deportivo Cuenca
0.45
Universidad Catolica
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Deportivo Cuenca)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Universidad Catolica)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Cuenca)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Universidad Catolica)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
DLW
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
WLL

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Deportivo Cuenca37%
Draw35%
Universidad Catolica28%

Deportivo Cuenca leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Deportivo Cuenca head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar in mixed form (DL), while Universidad Catolica arrive in mixed form (WL). Deportivo Cuenca have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Universidad Catolica over 2 games.

The model rates Deportivo Cuenca's attack at 18/100 against a 46/100 Universidad Catolica defence, and Universidad Catolica's attack at 54/100 against a 66/100 Deportivo Cuenca backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Deportivo Cuenca have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Universidad Catolica have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Deportivo Cuenca and Universidad Catolica in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Deportivo Cuenca to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Deportivo Cuenca 3672%, Draw 3500%, Universidad Catolica 2828%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Deportivo Cuenca

Deportivo Cuenca

D
@ Leones del Norte
15 Jul 2026
11
L
vs Aucas
12 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Libertad
16 May 2026
10
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

W
vs LDU de Quito
15 Jul 2026
10
L
vs Mushuc Runa SC
6 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Independiente del Valle
13 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?

GoalVio's model predicts Deportivo Cuenca to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more