GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Cuenca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo CuencaWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San LorenzoLDWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo CuencaSan Lorenzo
28.6Attack33.3
66.7Defence72.2
42.9Form38.9
47.3Power50.1
0.73xG0.76
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