Deportivo Cuencavs
Mushuc Runa SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 Mushuc Runa SC, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Mushuc Runa SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.6% | 32.2% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.9% | 31.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.6% | 36.4% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.93 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo CuencaDLWLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mushuc Runa SCLDDWD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
27.8Attack38.9
58.9Defence57.8
40.0Form42.2
45.0Power48.2
0.75xG0.88