Deportivo Cuencavs
Libertad
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 Libertad, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Libertad
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.7% | 34.4% | -18.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 31.9% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.46 | 20.3% | 33.7% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Libertad
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo CuencaWLDLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LibertadDLWDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CuencaLibertad
28.6Attack35.7
58.3Defence63.1
41.7Form45.2
45.6Power50.3
0.67xG0.82