GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Cuenca are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones del Norte hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo CuencaWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Leones del NorteLDDDW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo CuencaLeones del Norte
30.6Attack33.3
58.3Defence65.3
43.1Form44.4
46.7Power49.4
0.68xG0.76
View match centre →