GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 2/25/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Cuenca are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo CuencaLDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
LDU de QuitoWDDDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito
30.6Attack31.9
58.3Defence72.2
43.1Form48.6
46.7Power52.8
0.54xG0.74
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