Deportivo Cuencavs
Guayaquil City FC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/2/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 Guayaquil City FC, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Guayaquil City FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.0% | 35.7% | -20.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.3% | 31.7% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 5.17 | 17.7% | 32.6% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Guayaquil City FC
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo CuencaLDLLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guayaquil City FCWWDDL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FC
28.4Attack33.3
56.8Defence63.0
39.5Form44.4
44.4Power49.6
0.67xG0.80